Where heat pumps pay off in California
In a typical California house heated with gas, a heat pump saves the most near Crescent City ($509 a year) and the least near Cathedral City ($46). Typical savings $210 a year on a $1,100 heating bill. Pays for itself within 10 years in 2% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 67% if you install it yourself.
Same typical house everywhere: 1,800 sq ft, built 1970 to 1989, heating costs only, 125 places in California. How
Installed by
A contractorYou (DIY)
Yearly savings on heating (hired installer)
Costs more
Under $100
$100-300
$300-600
$600-1,000
$1,000-2,000
$2,000-4,000
$4,000+
California at a glance
Gas heat
$210 a year
Pays for itself within 10 years in 2% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 67% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,100.
Oil heat
$1,300 a year
Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $2,150.
Propane heat
$450 a year
Pays for itself within 10 years in 59% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 99% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,300.
Electric baseboard heat
$2,750 a year
Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $3,600.
Model your own house
These open the home model at the place with the typical house filled in and gas as today's heat. Change anything to match yours.
Every place in California, gas heat
| Place | Heating today | Saves a year | Pays back (contractor) | Pays back (DIY) | Heat from the heat pump |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crescent City | $2,052 | $509 | 7.7 years | 4.7 years | 95% |
| Eureka | $2,212 | $490 | 8.0 years | 4.7 years | 89% |
| Mckinleyville | $2,208 | $481 | 8.1 years | 4.7 years | 88% |
| Fortuna | $2,266 | $477 | 8.2 years | 4.7 years | 86% |
| El Granada | $1,558 | $398 | 9.5 years | 4.4 years | 84% |
| Petaluma | $1,963 | $364 | 10.7 years | 5.8 years | 77% |
| Monterey | $1,347 | $356 | 10.6 years | 5.1 years | 88% |
| San Francisco | $1,219 | $344 | 11.0 years | 5.6 years | 95% |
| Lompoc (Vandenberg AFB) | $1,263 | $326 | 11.6 years | 5.5 years | 88% |
| Windsor | $1,665 | $324 | 12.0 years | 6.7 years | 83% |
| Point Mugu Nawc | $998 | $321 | 11.8 years | 6.0 years | 99% |
| Mount Shasta | $2,506 | $318 | 13.2 years | 7.7 years | 70% |
| Novato | $1,398 | $318 | 12.3 years | 5.5 years | 92% |
| Napa | $1,507 | $313 | 12.4 years | 7.1 years | 89% |
| Alameda | $1,266 | $309 | 12.2 years | 5.7 years | 81% |
| Weaverville | $2,139 | $308 | 13.6 years | 6.5 years | 80% |
| El Portal | $2,188 | $308 | 13.6 years | 6.5 years | 74% |
| Salinas | $1,260 | $308 | 12.3 years | 5.7 years | 83% |
| Trinity Center | $2,173 | $304 | 13.8 years | 6.6 years | 79% |
| Emigrant Gap | $2,033 | $302 | 13.9 years | 6.6 years | 81% |
| Lompoc (Lompoc Airport) | $1,337 | $300 | 13.0 years | 5.8 years | 92% |
| San Lorenzo | $1,173 | $295 | 12.8 years | 6.1 years | 84% |
| Solvang | $1,383 | $294 | 13.2 years | 5.9 years | 84% |
| Santa Maria | $1,253 | $292 | 12.9 years | 5.8 years | 81% |
| Hollister | $1,420 | $288 | 13.5 years | 6.0 years | 82% |
| San Martin | $1,348 | $286 | 13.6 years | 6.1 years | 84% |
| Tehachapi | $1,842 | $286 | 14.7 years | 7.1 years | 84% |
| Denio 52 WSW | $3,127 | $285 | 14.7 years | 7.6 years | 56% |
| Redwood City | $1,118 | $282 | 13.4 years | 6.3 years | 84% |
| Palo Alto | $1,217 | $280 | 13.9 years | 6.3 years | 93% |
| San Luis Obispo | $1,162 | $280 | 13.5 years | 6.2 years | 82% |
| Alturas | $2,976 | $277 | 15.2 years | 7.1 years | 54% |
| Lebec | $1,557 | $275 | 15.3 years | 7.3 years | 92% |
| Montague | $2,478 | $271 | 15.5 years | 7.3 years | 61% |
| Pleasanton | $1,368 | $269 | 14.5 years | 6.4 years | 83% |
| Talmage | $1,522 | $268 | 14.5 years | 6.4 years | 75% |
| Paso Robles | $1,543 | $265 | 14.7 years | 7.2 years | 74% |
| South Lake Tahoe | $3,350 | $263 | 16.0 years | 8.3 years | 47% |
| Mountain View | $1,104 | $255 | 14.8 years | 6.7 years | 77% |
| Travis AFB | $1,317 | $253 | 15.4 years | 6.7 years | 84% |
| Rancho Cordova | $1,260 | $251 | 15.5 years | 6.8 years | 85% |
| Davis | $1,306 | $251 | 15.6 years | 6.8 years | 81% |
| Concord | $1,217 | $250 | 15.6 years | 6.8 years | 89% |
| Shasta | $1,303 | $248 | 15.7 years | 6.8 years | 86% |
| Santa Clara | $1,072 | $247 | 15.3 years | 7.0 years | 80% |
| San Jose | $1,056 | $247 | 15.8 years | 7.1 years | 95% |
| Sacramento (Sacramento Airport ASOS) | $1,250 | $244 | 16.0 years | 6.9 years | 87% |
| Placerville | $1,164 | $241 | 16.2 years | 7.2 years | 86% |
| Avalon | $806 | $241 | 15.7 years | 8.0 years | 98% |
| Truckee | $3,413 | $238 | 17.6 years | 8.9 years | 46% |
| Sugarloaf | $2,953 | $238 | 17.6 years | 8.0 years | 51% |
| Lincoln | $1,426 | $237 | 16.4 years | 7.0 years | 75% |
| Santa Barbara (Santa Barbara 11 W) | $944 | $237 | 15.9 years | 7.6 years | 85% |
| Cedar Ridge | $1,240 | $235 | 16.6 years | 7.3 years | 83% |
| Sacramento (Sacramento Metro Airport) | $1,240 | $232 | 16.8 years | 7.2 years | 85% |
| Lemoore | $1,218 | $232 | 18.1 years | 8.2 years | 95% |
| Auburn | $1,278 | $230 | 17.0 years | 7.5 years | 74% |
| Stockton | $1,234 | $230 | 16.9 years | 7.3 years | 84% |
| Hanford | $1,160 | $230 | 18.3 years | 8.2 years | 97% |
| Oxnard (Oxnard Ventura Co Airport) | $736 | $229 | 16.5 years | 8.4 years | 97% |
| Mammoth Lakes | $3,331 | $225 | 18.7 years | 8.6 years | 42% |
| Madera | $1,262 | $225 | 17.3 years | 7.4 years | 84% |
| Mcclellan | $1,149 | $224 | 17.4 years | 7.5 years | 86% |
| Oxnard (Pt Mugu Nf) | $830 | $223 | 17.0 years | 8.3 years | 90% |
| Santa Barbara (Santa Barbara Municipal Airport) | $896 | $221 | 17.1 years | 8.1 years | 84% |
| Elmira | $1,221 | $219 | 17.8 years | 7.6 years | 82% |
| Ramona | $1,231 | $217 | 18.0 years | 7.8 years | 77% |
| Merced | $1,192 | $214 | 18.2 years | 7.8 years | 84% |
| Beale AFB | $1,130 | $212 | 18.4 years | 7.9 years | 85% |
| Proberta | $1,190 | $209 | 18.7 years | 7.9 years | 81% |
| Temecula | $700 | $207 | 18.2 years | 9.3 years | 96% |
| Modesto | $1,090 | $206 | 18.9 years | 8.2 years | 86% |
| Porterville | $1,117 | $206 | 18.9 years | 8.1 years | 87% |
| Visalia | $1,082 | $205 | 19.0 years | 8.2 years | 89% |
| Camarillo | $768 | $205 | 18.4 years | 9.1 years | 89% |
| Bishop | $1,871 | $203 | 21 years | 9.7 years | 61% |
| Palermo | $1,129 | $202 | 19.3 years | 8.2 years | 83% |
| Redding | $1,199 | $201 | 19.4 years | 8.4 years | 72% |
| Chico | $1,152 | $201 | 19.4 years | 8.2 years | 77% |
| San Diego (San Diego Miramar NAS) | $756 | $190 | 20 years | 9.4 years | 88% |
| San Diego (San Diego Brown Field) | $682 | $190 | 19.9 years | 9.8 years | 93% |
| Oceanside | $963 | $188 | 21 years | 9.2 years | 83% |
| Fresno (Fresno Chandler Dwtn Airport) | $958 | $187 | 21 years | 9.0 years | 88% |
| March Air Reserve Base | $870 | $187 | 21 years | 9.3 years | 90% |
| Palmdale | $1,230 | $184 | 21 years | 9.1 years | 68% |
| Fresno (Fresno Yosemite Intl) | $939 | $182 | 21 years | 9.2 years | 91% |
| Victorville | $1,187 | $181 | 22 years | 9.2 years | 68% |
| Corona | $823 | $180 | 22 years | 9.7 years | 91% |
| Imperial Beach | $639 | $178 | 21 years | 10.7 years | 94% |
| Chino | $759 | $177 | 21 years | 9.6 years | 82% |
| Bakersfield | $919 | $174 | 22 years | 9.6 years | 89% |
| Edwards | $1,226 | $174 | 22 years | 9.6 years | 64% |
| Lancaster | $1,286 | $173 | 23 years | 9.6 years | 61% |
| San Dimas | $638 | $171 | 22 years | 11.1 years | 89% |
| San Bernardino | $719 | $171 | 23 years | 10.3 years | 95% |
| San Luis Rey | $807 | $169 | 22 years | 9.7 years | 76% |
| Riverside | $619 | $166 | 23 years | 11.7 years | 92% |
| Daggett | $839 | $162 | 24 years | 10.6 years | 85% |
| Ridgecrest | $1,157 | $158 | 25 years | 10.5 years | 62% |
| Fort Irwin | $906 | $157 | 25 years | 10.8 years | 77% |
| Twentynine Palms | $693 | $152 | 26 years | 11.4 years | 91% |
| Los Angeles | $550 | $110 | 28 years | 9.6 years | 92% |
| Carlsbad | $543 | $107 | 29 years | 9.8 years | 94% |
| Inglewood (Los Angeles Intl Airport) | $475 | $104 | 29 years | 10.1 years | 95% |
| Torrance | $558 | $103 | 30 years | 10.2 years | 89% |
| San Diego (San Diego Montgomery Field) | $559 | $101 | over 30 years | 10.4 years | 89% |
| Coronado | $474 | $97 | over 30 years | 10.9 years | 94% |
| Long Beach | $504 | $96 | over 30 years | 11.0 years | 90% |
| Sun Valley | $598 | $95 | over 30 years | 11.1 years | 81% |
| Pacoima | $463 | $93 | over 30 years | 11.4 years | 92% |
| Van Nuys | $601 | $93 | over 30 years | 11.3 years | 81% |
| Guasti | $559 | $92 | over 30 years | 11.5 years | 87% |
| Inglewood (Hawthorne Municipal Airport) | $434 | $91 | over 30 years | 11.5 years | 94% |
| Aliso Viejo | $440 | $90 | over 30 years | 11.7 years | 95% |
| Santee | $700 | $88 | over 30 years | 10.8 years | 69% |
| El Monte | $475 | $87 | over 30 years | 12.1 years | 89% |
| Buena Park | $519 | $86 | over 30 years | 12.2 years | 84% |
| Los Alamitos | $576 | $86 | over 30 years | 12.2 years | 77% |
| San Diego (San Diego Intl Airport) | $456 | $84 | over 30 years | 12.6 years | 88% |
| Blythe | $431 | $54 | over 30 years | 19.5 years | 74% |
| Needles | $389 | $52 | over 30 years | 20 years | 75% |
| Death Valley | $369 | $50 | over 30 years | 21 years | 80% |
| Seeley | $402 | $48 | over 30 years | 22 years | 70% |
| El Centro | $372 | $47 | over 30 years | 22 years | 73% |
| Cathedral City | $262 | $46 | over 30 years | 23 years | 90% |
Contractor installed unless marked DIY. Place names are the nearest ZIP code city to each weather station. Download all places.
Neighboring states
How these numbers are made
Every place on the map is the area closest to one of 1,983 weather stations. For each one we ran the HeatPushers home model (the same code you can use for your own house) with the past year of hourly weather at that station (2025-10-28 to 2026-10-28) and the state's average electricity and fuel prices from the EIA (the US average where the EIA has no figure for the state).
- The house: 1,800 sq ft, 2 stories, built 1970 to 1989 (wall insulation R-14, attic R-16), 3 bedrooms, thermostat at 70°F. The heat pump heats the whole house.
- Heat today: gas furnace (80% efficient); oil boiler (85% efficient); propane furnace (92% efficient); electric baseboard (100% efficient). Furnace houses have ducts inside the heated space; boiler and baseboard houses have no ducts, so only ductless heat pumps count there.
- The heat pump: out of 772 models sold online, the one with the lowest 10-year cost (price, installation and energy), in the number of units that costs least. The old heat stays and takes over in the hours it is cheaper to run.
- Installation: a contractor at $2,500 per indoor unit, or yourself: $350 of tools once and $300 of materials per indoor unit.
- Payback: what it costs up front divided by what it saves a year. Under 10 years means it pays for itself within the lifetime we assume.
- Heating only. Cooling is left out. A heat pump also cools: against old central AC that saves a bit more; in a house without AC, using it in summer costs extra.
- Not included: rebates and tax credits, electrical upgrades, new ductwork, heat-pump electricity rates and financing.
- Shares of ZIP codes: each place counts by how many US ZIP codes are closest to its station, so cities count more than empty desert.
Your house is not this house. Size, insulation, prices and what you already own change the answer, often a lot. Use "Model your own house here" on the map, or start at the home model. More: full method and how we know.