Where heat pumps pay off in Michigan

In a typical Michigan house heated with propane, a heat pump saves the most near Kincheloe (Sault Ste Marie Sanderson Field) ($1,309 a year) and the least near Detroit (Detroit Metro Airport) ($575). Typical savings $620 a year on a $3,400 heating bill. Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself.

Same typical house everywhere: 1,800 sq ft, built 1970 to 1989, heating costs only, 74 places in Michigan. How

Show Savings a yearPayback time
Installed by A contractorYou (DIY)
Years to pay back what it costs (hired installer)
Under 3 3-5 5-7 7-10 10-15 15-30 Over 30 or never

Michigan at a glance

Gas heat

Under $100 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 0% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 0% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,550.

Oil heat

$3,800 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $6,200.

Propane heat

$620 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $3,400.

Electric baseboard heat

$5,600 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 100% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $7,900.

Model your own house

These open the home model at the place with the typical house filled in and propane as today's heat. Change anything to match yours.

Every place in Michigan, propane heat

PlaceHeating todaySaves a year Pays back (contractor)Pays back (DIY)Heat from the heat pump
Kincheloe (Sault Ste Marie Sanderson Field) $4,523 $1,309 7.0 years 2.2 years 92%
Conover $4,468 $1,245 7.4 years 2.3 years 88%
Ironwood $4,415 $1,242 7.4 years 2.3 years 89%
Munising $4,271 $1,129 5.8 years 2.0 years 89%
Eben Junction $4,471 $1,116 5.9 years 2.0 years 85%
Copper Harbor $4,261 $1,115 5.9 years 2.0 years 88%
Hubbell $4,370 $1,098 6.0 years 2.0 years 86%
Mackinac Island $4,178 $1,090 6.0 years 2.1 years 88%
Beaver Island $4,006 $1,087 6.1 years 2.1 years 90%
Engadine $4,388 $1,085 6.1 years 2.1 years 84%
Cheboygan $4,099 $1,085 6.1 years 2.1 years 88%
Drummond Island $4,272 $1,075 6.1 years 2.1 years 84%
Rogers City $4,050 $1,063 6.2 years 2.1 years 89%
Grayling $4,306 $1,051 6.3 years 2.1 years 84%
Oscoda $3,939 $1,051 6.3 years 2.1 years 88%
Conway $3,916 $1,047 6.3 years 2.2 years 89%
Charlevoix $3,787 $1,043 6.3 years 2.2 years 91%
Alpena $4,067 $1,043 6.3 years 2.2 years 86%
Gwinn $4,497 $1,042 6.3 years 2.2 years 80%
Kincheloe (Chippewa Intl Airport) $4,446 $1,036 6.4 years 2.2 years 81%
Wells $4,189 $1,027 6.4 years 2.2 years 83%
Cadillac $4,019 $1,019 6.5 years 2.2 years 86%
Waters $4,190 $1,017 6.5 years 2.2 years 83%
Acme $3,704 $1,006 6.6 years 2.2 years 91%
Gaylord $4,142 $997 6.6 years 2.3 years 83%
Port Hope $3,613 $990 6.7 years 2.3 years 91%
Big Rapids $3,771 $987 6.7 years 2.3 years 88%
Kingsford $4,227 $984 6.7 years 2.3 years 80%
Manistique $4,120 $901 5.2 years 2.1 years 67%
Frankfort $3,642 $892 5.9 years 2.2 years 82%
Eastlake $3,727 $888 5.9 years 2.2 years 81%
Ludington $3,553 $871 6.0 years 2.3 years 82%
Bellaire $3,728 $867 5.4 years 2.1 years 72%
Bad Axe $3,819 $861 6.1 years 2.3 years 77%
Houghton Lake Heights $3,976 $860 6.1 years 2.3 years 75%
Midland $3,628 $840 6.2 years 2.3 years 78%
Mount Pleasant $3,441 $833 5.6 years 2.3 years 73%
Fremont $3,518 $829 6.3 years 2.4 years 80%
Muskegon $3,307 $826 6.3 years 2.4 years 83%
Holland $3,272 $823 6.4 years 2.5 years 83%
Benton Harbor $3,168 $823 6.4 years 2.5 years 84%
Marysville $3,517 $789 6.0 years 2.4 years 67%
Alma $3,630 $636 5.2 years 2.4 years 68%
Lapeer $3,525 $633 5.2 years 2.4 years 68%
Howell $3,370 $632 5.2 years 2.5 years 71%
Caro $3,717 $630 5.2 years 2.4 years 65%
Monroe $3,321 $629 5.2 years 2.5 years 71%
Freeland $3,546 $627 5.3 years 2.4 years 68%
Owosso $3,386 $625 5.3 years 2.5 years 70%
Saginaw $3,456 $617 5.4 years 2.4 years 69%
Charlotte $3,420 $616 5.4 years 2.5 years 68%
Ionia $3,421 $614 5.4 years 2.5 years 69%
Grosse Ile $3,254 $614 5.4 years 2.5 years 71%
Mason $3,278 $610 5.4 years 2.6 years 70%
South Haven $3,007 $608 5.4 years 2.6 years 75%
Hillsdale $3,427 $608 5.4 years 2.5 years 68%
Grand Rapids $3,324 $606 5.4 years 2.5 years 70%
Flint $3,445 $603 5.5 years 2.5 years 67%
Harrison Township $3,204 $603 5.5 years 2.6 years 71%
Jackson $3,368 $603 5.5 years 2.6 years 68%
Lansing $3,362 $602 5.5 years 2.6 years 69%
Marshall $3,362 $601 5.5 years 2.6 years 69%
Lambertville $3,218 $597 5.5 years 2.6 years 70%
Battle Creek $3,300 $594 5.6 years 2.6 years 69%
Auburn Hills $3,410 $591 5.6 years 2.6 years 67%
Adrian $3,241 $591 5.6 years 2.6 years 70%
Belleville $3,276 $590 5.6 years 2.6 years 69%
Kalamazoo $3,237 $589 5.6 years 2.6 years 70%
Coldwater $3,248 $587 5.6 years 2.6 years 69%
Three Rivers $3,185 $584 5.6 years 2.6 years 70%
Sturgis $3,180 $583 5.7 years 2.7 years 70%
Troy $3,163 $582 5.7 years 2.6 years 71%
Detroit (Detroit City Airport) $3,123 $577 5.7 years 2.7 years 71%
Detroit (Detroit Metro Airport) $3,131 $575 5.7 years 2.7 years 70%

Contractor installed unless marked DIY. Place names are the nearest ZIP code city to each weather station. Download all places.

Neighboring states

How these numbers are made

Every place on the map is the area closest to one of 1,983 weather stations. For each one we ran the HeatPushers home model (the same code you can use for your own house) with the past year of hourly weather at that station (2025-10-28 to 2026-10-28) and the state's average electricity and fuel prices from the EIA (the US average where the EIA has no figure for the state).

  • The house: 1,800 sq ft, 2 stories, built 1970 to 1989 (wall insulation R-14, attic R-16), 3 bedrooms, thermostat at 70°F. The heat pump heats the whole house.
  • Heat today: gas furnace (80% efficient); oil boiler (85% efficient); propane furnace (92% efficient); electric baseboard (100% efficient). Furnace houses have ducts inside the heated space; boiler and baseboard houses have no ducts, so only ductless heat pumps count there.
  • The heat pump: out of 772 models sold online, the one with the lowest 10-year cost (price, installation and energy), in the number of units that costs least. The old heat stays and takes over in the hours it is cheaper to run.
  • Installation: a contractor at $2,500 per indoor unit, or yourself: $350 of tools once and $300 of materials per indoor unit.
  • Payback: what it costs up front divided by what it saves a year. Under 10 years means it pays for itself within the lifetime we assume.
  • Heating only. Cooling is left out. A heat pump also cools: against old central AC that saves a bit more; in a house without AC, using it in summer costs extra.
  • Not included: rebates and tax credits, electrical upgrades, new ductwork, heat-pump electricity rates and financing.
  • Shares of ZIP codes: each place counts by how many US ZIP codes are closest to its station, so cities count more than empty desert.

Your house is not this house. Size, insulation, prices and what you already own change the answer, often a lot. Use "Model your own house here" on the map, or start at the home model. More: full method and how we know.

Embed this map