Where heat pumps pay off in Florida

In a typical Florida house heated with electric baseboard heat, a heat pump saves the most near Crestview ($1,119 a year) and the least near Key West (Key W Intl Airport) ($66). Typical savings $390 a year on a $580 heating bill. Pays for itself within 10 years in 68% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 99% if you install it yourself.

Same typical house everywhere: 1,800 sq ft, built 1970 to 1989, heating costs only, 73 places in Florida. How

Show Savings a yearPayback time
Installed by A contractorYou (DIY)
Yearly savings on heating (hired installer)
Costs more Under $100 $100-300 $300-600 $600-1,000 $1,000-2,000 $2,000-4,000 $4,000+

Florida at a glance

Gas heat

$230 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 31% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 80% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $410.

Oil heat

$500 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 75% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 99% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $700.

Propane heat

$600 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 78% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, over 99% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $780.

Electric baseboard heat

$390 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 68% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 99% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $580.

Model your own house

These open the home model at the place with the typical house filled in and electric baseboard heat as today's heat. Change anything to match yours.

Every place in Florida, electric baseboard heat heat

PlaceHeating todaySaves a year Pays back (contractor)Pays back (DIY)Heat from the heat pump
Crestview $1,570 $1,119 3.8 years 1.6 years 98%
Bonifay $1,501 $1,084 3.9 years 1.6 years 99%
Milton (Whiting Field NAS) $1,486 $1,074 3.9 years 1.6 years 99%
Marianna $1,421 $1,031 4.1 years 1.7 years 99%
Milton (Whiting Field NAS S) $1,415 $1,016 4.1 years 1.8 years 99%
Tallahassee $1,380 $995 4.2 years 1.8 years 99%
Jacksonville (Jacksonville Cecil Airport) $1,326 $869 3.8 years 1.9 years 93%
Quincy $1,279 $852 3.9 years 1.9 years 95%
Jacksonville (Jacksonville Herlong Airport) $1,244 $830 4.0 years 2.0 years 95%
Panama City (NW Florida Beaches Intl Airport) $1,230 $824 4.0 years 2.0 years 95%
Jacksonville $1,189 $799 4.1 years 2.0 years 96%
Pensacola (Pensacola Forest Sherman NAS) $1,189 $792 4.2 years 2.0 years 95%
Apalachicola $1,141 $774 4.3 years 2.1 years 96%
Valparaiso $1,116 $747 4.4 years 2.2 years 95%
Hurlburt Field $1,108 $742 4.4 years 2.2 years 95%
Pensacola (Pensacola Regional Airport) $1,084 $732 4.5 years 2.2 years 96%
Gainesville $1,093 $732 4.5 years 2.2 years 95%
Jacksonville (Jacksonville Craig Municipal Airport) $1,055 $727 4.5 years 2.2 years 98%
Crystal River $1,088 $720 4.6 years 2.2 years 94%
Keystone Heights $1,058 $714 4.6 years 2.3 years 96%
Inverness $1,061 $706 4.7 years 2.3 years 95%
Jacksonville (Mayport Pilot Stn) $999 $694 4.8 years 2.3 years 98%
Ocala $1,002 $664 5.0 years 2.4 years 94%
Destin $966 $663 5.0 years 2.4 years 97%
Panama City (Tyndall AFB) $944 $655 5.0 years 2.5 years 98%
Palm Coast $958 $647 5.1 years 2.5 years 96%
Brooksville $960 $634 5.2 years 2.5 years 94%
Saint Augustine $879 $608 5.4 years 2.7 years 98%
Jacksonville (Jacksonville NAS) $875 $606 5.4 years 2.7 years 98%
Zephyrhills $887 $598 5.5 years 2.7 years 96%
Deland $812 $554 6.0 years 2.9 years 97%
Ormond Beach $747 $512 6.4 years 2.5 years 97%
Leesburg $724 $502 6.6 years 2.6 years 98%
Daytona Beach $717 $492 6.7 years 2.6 years 97%
Lakeland $672 $463 7.1 years 2.8 years 98%
Venus $665 $449 7.4 years 2.9 years 96%
Eagle Lake $640 $441 7.5 years 3.0 years 98%
New Smyrna Beach $625 $429 7.7 years 3.0 years 98%
Sanford $654 $428 7.1 years 2.5 years 91%
Clearwater (Clearwater Air Pk) $621 $419 7.3 years 2.5 years 94%
Okeechobee $622 $402 7.6 years 2.6 years 90%
Orlando (Titusville 7 E) $604 $394 7.8 years 2.7 years 91%
Plant City $592 $389 7.8 years 2.7 years 92%
Orlando (Orlando Executive Airport) $581 $388 7.9 years 2.7 years 93%
Orlando (Orlando Intl Airport) $584 $388 7.9 years 2.7 years 93%
Kissimmee $587 $386 7.9 years 2.7 years 92%
Winter Haven $562 $375 8.1 years 2.8 years 93%
Orlando (Titusville Nasa Shuttle Fac) $570 $373 8.2 years 2.8 years 91%
Murdock $560 $372 8.2 years 2.8 years 92%
Tampa (Macdill AFB) $544 $365 8.4 years 2.9 years 93%
Fort Pierce $536 $344 8.9 years 3.1 years 90%
Clearwater (St Petersburg Clearwater Intl) $481 $335 9.1 years 3.1 years 96%
Cape Canaveral $489 $328 9.3 years 3.2 years 93%
Tampa (Tampa Intl Airport) $476 $323 9.4 years 3.2 years 94%
Melbourne $498 $322 9.5 years 3.3 years 90%
Vero Beach $494 $320 9.5 years 3.3 years 91%
Everglades City $468 $318 9.6 years 3.3 years 94%
Tallevast $432 $300 10.2 years 3.5 years 96%
Fort Myers (Ft Myers SW Florida Regional Airport) $379 $262 11.7 years 4.0 years 95%
Fort Myers (Ft Myers Page Field Airport) $376 $260 11.7 years 4.0 years 96%
Patrick AFB $342 $236 13.0 years 4.5 years 95%
Naples $305 $218 14.0 years 4.8 years 98%
Saint Petersburg $297 $216 14.1 years 4.9 years 99%
Stuart $297 $202 15.1 years 5.2 years 94%
Pembroke Pines $215 $150 20 years 7.0 years 96%
Boca Raton $212 $148 21 years 7.1 years 97%
Hialeah $206 $144 21 years 7.3 years 96%
Homestead $196 $138 22 years 7.6 years 97%
Fort Lauderdale $182 $129 24 years 8.2 years 97%
Miami $172 $122 25 years 8.6 years 97%
Marathon Shores $102 $78 over 30 years 13.6 years 100%
Key West (Key West NAS) $99 $76 over 30 years 13.9 years 100%
Key West (Key W Intl Airport) $86 $66 over 30 years 15.9 years 100%

Contractor installed unless marked DIY. Place names are the nearest ZIP code city to each weather station. Download all places.

Neighboring states

How these numbers are made

Every place on the map is the area closest to one of 1,983 weather stations. For each one we ran the HeatPushers home model (the same code you can use for your own house) with the past year of hourly weather at that station (2025-10-28 to 2026-10-28) and the state's average electricity and fuel prices from the EIA (the US average where the EIA has no figure for the state).

  • The house: 1,800 sq ft, 2 stories, built 1970 to 1989 (wall insulation R-14, attic R-16), 3 bedrooms, thermostat at 70°F. The heat pump heats the whole house.
  • Heat today: gas furnace (80% efficient); oil boiler (85% efficient); propane furnace (92% efficient); electric baseboard (100% efficient). Furnace houses have ducts inside the heated space; boiler and baseboard houses have no ducts, so only ductless heat pumps count there.
  • The heat pump: out of 772 models sold online, the one with the lowest 10-year cost (price, installation and energy), in the number of units that costs least. The old heat stays and takes over in the hours it is cheaper to run.
  • Installation: a contractor at $2,500 per indoor unit, or yourself: $350 of tools once and $300 of materials per indoor unit.
  • Payback: what it costs up front divided by what it saves a year. Under 10 years means it pays for itself within the lifetime we assume.
  • Heating only. Cooling is left out. A heat pump also cools: against old central AC that saves a bit more; in a house without AC, using it in summer costs extra.
  • Not included: rebates and tax credits, electrical upgrades, new ductwork, heat-pump electricity rates and financing.
  • Shares of ZIP codes: each place counts by how many US ZIP codes are closest to its station, so cities count more than empty desert.

Your house is not this house. Size, insulation, prices and what you already own change the answer, often a lot. Use "Model your own house here" on the map, or start at the home model. More: full method and how we know.

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