Where heat pumps pay off in Texas

In a typical Texas house heated with oil, a heat pump saves the most near Dalhart ($2,614 a year) and the least near Matagorda ($278). Typical savings $1,150 a year on a $1,500 heating bill. Pays for itself within 10 years in 99% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself.

Same typical house everywhere: 1,800 sq ft, built 1970 to 1989, heating costs only, 158 places in Texas. How

Show Savings a yearPayback time
Installed by A contractorYou (DIY)
Yearly savings on heating (you install it)
Costs more Under $100 $100-300 $300-600 $600-1,000 $1,000-2,000 $2,000-4,000 $4,000+

Texas at a glance

Gas heat

$250 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 10% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 98% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $670.

Oil heat

$1,150 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 99% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,500.

Propane heat

$630 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 95% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,100.

Electric baseboard heat

$880 a year

Pays for itself within 10 years in 98% of its ZIP codes with a hired installer, 100% if you install it yourself. Typical heating bill today $1,350.

Model your own house

These open the home model at the place with the typical house filled in and oil as today's heat. Change anything to match yours.

Every place in Texas, oil heat

PlaceHeating todaySaves a year Pays back (contractor)Pays back (DIY)Heat from the heat pump
Dalhart $3,667 $2,614 1.8 years 0.9 years 99%
Dumas $3,334 $2,388 2.0 years 1.0 years 99%
Sudan $3,198 $2,255 2.1 years 1.1 years 98%
Plainview $3,083 $2,207 2.1 years 1.1 years 99%
Dawn $2,993 $2,154 2.2 years 1.1 years 99%
Amarillo $3,045 $2,148 2.0 years 1.1 years 95%
Canadian $3,014 $2,122 2.2 years 1.1 years 98%
Alpine $2,735 $2,024 2.1 years 1.2 years 98%
Pampa $2,832 $2,014 2.1 years 1.2 years 96%
Borger $2,696 $1,924 2.2 years 1.2 years 96%
Lubbock $2,439 $1,742 2.4 years 1.4 years 96%
Childress $2,406 $1,716 2.4 years 1.4 years 96%
Seminole $2,325 $1,686 2.5 years 1.4 years 97%
Sheppard AFB $2,224 $1,585 2.6 years 1.5 years 96%
Andrews $2,157 $1,570 2.7 years 1.5 years 97%
Blackwell $2,174 $1,565 2.7 years 1.5 years 96%
Paris $2,126 $1,555 2.7 years 1.5 years 97%
Snyder $2,115 $1,532 2.7 years 1.6 years 96%
Gilmer $2,010 $1,498 2.8 years 1.6 years 98%
Big Spring $2,059 $1,493 2.8 years 1.6 years 96%
Bridgeport $2,050 $1,487 2.8 years 1.6 years 97%
Early $2,053 $1,487 2.8 years 1.6 years 97%
Mount Pleasant $2,016 $1,484 2.8 years 1.6 years 98%
Graham $2,056 $1,459 2.9 years 1.6 years 95%
Denton $2,015 $1,450 2.9 years 1.6 years 96%
Greenville $1,971 $1,449 2.9 years 1.6 years 97%
Sulphur Springs $1,943 $1,446 2.9 years 1.6 years 98%
Marshall $1,963 $1,445 2.9 years 1.6 years 98%
Pecos $1,962 $1,441 2.9 years 1.6 years 97%
Sherman $1,993 $1,437 2.9 years 1.6 years 96%
Midland (Midland Airpark) $1,933 $1,422 3.0 years 1.2 years 97%
Mineral Wells $1,959 $1,420 3.0 years 1.7 years 97%
Montague $1,973 $1,414 3.0 years 1.7 years 96%
Odessa $1,916 $1,411 3.0 years 1.3 years 97%
Coleman $1,890 $1,396 3.0 years 1.3 years 97%
Midland (Midland Odessa) $1,892 $1,389 3.0 years 1.3 years 97%
Monahans $1,879 $1,387 3.0 years 1.3 years 98%
Mckinney $1,884 $1,383 3.0 years 1.7 years 97%
Golden $1,859 $1,376 3.0 years 1.7 years 98%
Sonora $1,860 $1,374 3.1 years 1.7 years 98%
Ozona $1,874 $1,371 3.1 years 1.7 years 97%
San Angelo $1,872 $1,363 3.1 years 1.7 years 97%
Llano $1,864 $1,362 3.1 years 1.7 years 97%
Stephenville $1,826 $1,343 3.1 years 1.3 years 97%
Decatur $1,846 $1,340 3.1 years 1.8 years 96%
Athens $1,788 $1,335 3.2 years 1.3 years 99%
Hamilton $1,814 $1,333 3.2 years 1.3 years 97%
Dyess AFB $1,823 $1,331 3.2 years 1.3 years 97%
Fort Bliss $1,736 $1,330 3.2 years 1.3 years 100%
Junction $1,806 $1,325 3.2 years 1.8 years 97%
Burleson $1,811 $1,323 3.2 years 1.8 years 97%
Midlothian $1,779 $1,311 3.2 years 1.4 years 97%
Terrell $1,772 $1,306 3.2 years 1.4 years 98%
Sweetwater $1,782 $1,302 3.2 years 1.4 years 97%
Vernon $1,722 $1,298 3.2 years 1.4 years 99%
Abilene $1,779 $1,295 3.2 years 1.4 years 96%
Mexia $1,734 $1,288 3.3 years 1.4 years 98%
Brady $1,745 $1,288 3.3 years 1.4 years 97%
Texarkana $1,720 $1,284 3.3 years 1.4 years 98%
Rockwall $1,728 $1,280 3.3 years 1.4 years 98%
Longview $1,719 $1,280 3.3 years 1.4 years 98%
Cleburne $1,744 $1,280 3.3 years 1.4 years 97%
Breckenridge $1,737 $1,260 3.3 years 1.9 years 96%
Fredericksburg $1,694 $1,253 3.4 years 1.4 years 98%
Fort Worth (Ft Worth Alliance Airport) $1,687 $1,234 3.4 years 1.4 years 97%
Fort Worth (Ft Worth Meacham Field) $1,660 $1,224 3.4 years 1.4 years 97%
Gatesville $1,652 $1,217 3.4 years 1.5 years 97%
Center Point $1,597 $1,215 3.5 years 1.5 years 99%
Dallas (Dallas Redbird Airport) $1,634 $1,210 3.5 years 1.5 years 98%
Lampasas $1,632 $1,210 3.5 years 1.5 years 98%
Arlington (Arlington Municipal Airport) $1,613 $1,193 3.5 years 1.5 years 97%
Naval Air Station Jrb $1,615 $1,191 3.5 years 1.5 years 97%
Tyler $1,592 $1,191 3.5 years 1.5 years 98%
Jasper $1,587 $1,185 3.5 years 1.5 years 99%
Waco (Waco Regional Airport) $1,606 $1,182 3.6 years 1.5 years 98%
Hillsboro $1,591 $1,177 3.6 years 1.5 years 98%
Woodway $1,583 $1,172 3.6 years 1.5 years 98%
Irving $1,582 $1,171 3.6 years 1.5 years 98%
Nacogdoches $1,542 $1,155 3.6 years 1.5 years 99%
El Paso $1,569 $1,136 2.9 years 1.4 years 98%
Diboll $1,510 $1,132 3.7 years 1.6 years 99%
Palestine (Palestine 6 WNW) $1,513 $1,130 3.7 years 1.6 years 98%
Arlington (Grand Prairie Municipal Airport) $1,517 $1,129 3.7 years 1.6 years 98%
Dallas (Dallas FAA Airport) $1,517 $1,126 3.7 years 1.6 years 98%
Addison $1,482 $1,098 3.8 years 1.6 years 98%
Taylor $1,450 $1,075 3.9 years 1.6 years 98%
Hearne $1,417 $1,054 4.0 years 1.7 years 98%
Gallatin $1,486 $1,040 3.2 years 1.6 years 95%
Waco (Waco J Connally AFB) $1,443 $1,035 3.2 years 1.6 years 97%
Burnet $1,496 $1,031 3.2 years 1.6 years 94%
Palestine (Palestine Municipal Airport) $1,450 $1,018 3.2 years 1.6 years 95%
Fort Stockton $1,461 $1,010 3.3 years 1.6 years 94%
Leander $1,454 $1,007 3.3 years 1.6 years 94%
Big Bend National Park $1,404 $1,002 3.3 years 1.6 years 97%
Corsicana $1,420 $976 3.4 years 1.7 years 94%
Marble Falls $1,388 $959 3.4 years 1.7 years 94%
Beaumont $1,371 $958 3.4 years 1.7 years 95%
Sanderson $1,335 $944 3.5 years 1.7 years 96%
Georgetown $1,378 $943 3.5 years 1.7 years 93%
Killeen (Robert Gray Aaf) $1,354 $935 3.5 years 1.7 years 94%
Horseshoe Bay $1,369 $935 3.5 years 1.7 years 93%
Killeen (Ft Hood) $1,343 $927 3.6 years 1.8 years 94%
Cameron $1,351 $927 3.6 years 1.8 years 93%
Conroe $1,340 $922 3.6 years 1.8 years 94%
Orangefield $1,290 $908 3.6 years 1.8 years 96%
Austin (Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport) $1,317 $904 3.6 years 1.8 years 93%
Hondo $1,313 $903 3.6 years 1.8 years 93%
Giddings $1,278 $881 3.8 years 1.8 years 94%
Brenham $1,267 $874 3.8 years 1.9 years 94%
Spring $1,226 $860 3.8 years 1.9 years 95%
Maxwell $1,243 $860 3.8 years 1.9 years 94%
New Braunfels $1,226 $856 3.9 years 1.9 years 95%
College Station $1,227 $855 3.9 years 1.9 years 95%
Huntsville $1,214 $845 3.9 years 1.9 years 94%
Austin (Austin-Camp Mabry) $1,170 $816 4.0 years 2.0 years 95%
Bryan $1,182 $814 4.0 years 2.0 years 94%
Waring $1,152 $803 4.1 years 2.0 years 94%
Nederland $1,110 $793 4.2 years 2.1 years 97%
Laughlin AFB $1,091 $777 4.2 years 2.1 years 96%
Katy $1,079 $762 4.3 years 2.2 years 96%
Pleasanton $1,081 $760 4.3 years 2.1 years 95%
Del Rio $1,052 $752 4.4 years 2.2 years 97%
Bay City $1,054 $745 4.4 years 2.2 years 96%
San Antonio (San Antonio Intl Airport) $1,053 $741 4.4 years 2.2 years 95%
Schertz $1,044 $736 4.5 years 2.2 years 95%
Houston (Houston Intercontinental Airport) $1,026 $730 4.5 years 2.2 years 96%
Telferner $1,045 $728 4.5 years 2.2 years 95%
San Antonio (San Antonio Stinson Municipal Airport) $1,006 $712 4.6 years 2.3 years 96%
Gonzales $1,010 $709 4.7 years 2.3 years 95%
San Antonio (San Antonio Kelly AFB) $998 $704 4.7 years 2.3 years 96%
Knippa $939 $692 4.8 years 1.9 years 99%
Sugar Land $967 $687 4.8 years 2.4 years 96%
Pearland $950 $680 4.8 years 2.4 years 97%
Austwell $980 $666 5.0 years 2.4 years 92%
Houston (Houston Ellington AFB) $919 $661 5.0 years 2.5 years 97%
Fresno $876 $648 5.1 years 2.0 years 100%
Houston (Houston William P Hobby Airport) $868 $624 5.3 years 2.1 years 97%
Houston (Houston Dunn Helistop) $864 $617 5.4 years 2.6 years 97%
Palacios $863 $614 5.4 years 2.7 years 96%
Cotulla $846 $604 5.5 years 2.2 years 97%
Port Lavaca $809 $574 5.8 years 2.3 years 96%
Realitos $787 $568 5.8 years 2.3 years 97%
Kingsville $764 $551 6.0 years 2.4 years 97%
Galveston $786 $550 5.6 years 1.9 years 93%
Orange Grove $745 $534 6.2 years 2.4 years 97%
Corpus Christi $709 $512 6.4 years 2.5 years 97%
Falfurrias $712 $512 6.4 years 2.5 years 97%
Fulton $658 $472 7.0 years 2.8 years 97%
Alice $643 $460 7.2 years 2.8 years 97%
Laredo $651 $455 6.7 years 2.3 years 93%
Harlingen $595 $417 7.3 years 2.5 years 93%
Hargill $590 $404 7.6 years 2.6 years 92%
Edinburg $574 $396 7.7 years 2.7 years 92%
Corpus Christi (Corpus Christi NAS) $537 $378 8.1 years 2.8 years 93%
Port Aransas $493 $345 8.8 years 3.0 years 93%
Los Fresnos $435 $314 9.7 years 3.4 years 95%
Mcallen $400 $290 10.5 years 3.6 years 95%
Matagorda $388 $278 11.0 years 3.8 years 94%

Contractor installed unless marked DIY. Place names are the nearest ZIP code city to each weather station. Download all places.

Neighboring states

How these numbers are made

Every place on the map is the area closest to one of 1,983 weather stations. For each one we ran the HeatPushers home model (the same code you can use for your own house) with the past year of hourly weather at that station (2025-10-28 to 2026-10-28) and the state's average electricity and fuel prices from the EIA (the US average where the EIA has no figure for the state).

  • The house: 1,800 sq ft, 2 stories, built 1970 to 1989 (wall insulation R-14, attic R-16), 3 bedrooms, thermostat at 70°F. The heat pump heats the whole house.
  • Heat today: gas furnace (80% efficient); oil boiler (85% efficient); propane furnace (92% efficient); electric baseboard (100% efficient). Furnace houses have ducts inside the heated space; boiler and baseboard houses have no ducts, so only ductless heat pumps count there.
  • The heat pump: out of 772 models sold online, the one with the lowest 10-year cost (price, installation and energy), in the number of units that costs least. The old heat stays and takes over in the hours it is cheaper to run.
  • Installation: a contractor at $2,500 per indoor unit, or yourself: $350 of tools once and $300 of materials per indoor unit.
  • Payback: what it costs up front divided by what it saves a year. Under 10 years means it pays for itself within the lifetime we assume.
  • Heating only. Cooling is left out. A heat pump also cools: against old central AC that saves a bit more; in a house without AC, using it in summer costs extra.
  • Not included: rebates and tax credits, electrical upgrades, new ductwork, heat-pump electricity rates and financing.
  • Shares of ZIP codes: each place counts by how many US ZIP codes are closest to its station, so cities count more than empty desert.

Your house is not this house. Size, insulation, prices and what you already own change the answer, often a lot. Use "Model your own house here" on the map, or start at the home model. More: full method and how we know.

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